Approximation: Nadaraya Watson kernel regression

 

We calculate

 

 

where

 

 for

 

Here, we set Gaussian kernel(pdf standard normal) to K( ) for example.

 

 

As bandwidth h increases, the resulting curve will be stretched out.

 

If h increases too much, it deviates from the local points and it is going to be linear

 

globally. The best fit is around h=0.05 in the case above.